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"Controversial bills might have cost TN General Assembly Popularity Points"

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Phone: 615.875.6954
Fax: 615.343.6003 
shannon.meldon-corney@vanderbilt.edu


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TWELFTH VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY POLL

November 2015

In January 2011, the Center for the Study of Democratic Institutions (CSDI) launched the Vanderbilt Poll to provide a non-partisan and scientifically based reading of public opinion within the state of Tennessee and the city of Nashville. The Vanderbilt Poll conducts surveys at least twice a year, prior to the start of the state legislative session and at its conclusion. In September 2015, the Poll carried out its first survey of Nashville, which it plans to make an annual fixture. Our focus in all our polls is to uncover what citizens think about important public policy issues and to make our findings available to citizens, policy-makers, and scholars. Since 2011, the Vanderbilt Poll has surveyed nearly 16,000 Tennesseans and all poll results are available at www.vu.edu/poll .

Vanderbilt University (VU) offers an ideal setting for polling opinion across the state and in the Nashville area. Not only is Vanderbilt located in the state capital, but it is also a private institution that does not rely on funding from the state or local government. This allows the flexibility to ask questions on controversial issues that may be facing the city and state. VU also has committed sufficient resources for us to employ state-of-the-art techniques in gathering the best possible data. Good polling is costly and cutting corners can lead to questionable data. Finally, CSDI and VU have extensive polling expertise among its faculty, students, and staff.

Joshua Clinton, Abby and Jon Winkleried Professor of Political Science, and John Geer, Gertrude Conaway Vanderbilt Professor of Political Science, have served as co-directors of the Vanderbilt Poll since its inception. Clinton received his Ph.D. from Stanford University, where he also earned an M.S. in Statistics and Economics. Geer received his Ph.D. from Princeton University, where he also earned an M.A. in Politics. Both have substantial experience in survey research, developing representative samples, drafting survey questions, and analyzing data.

We take our objective of providing an unbiased reading of public opinion very seriously. As a result, we conduct telephone interviews through both landlines and cell phones. We also weight all statistical results to achieve an accurate demographic representation. Beginning in May 2015, we began using a registered voter list to identify the sample of respondents. This allows us to gain better understanding about the opinions that state leaders hear and allows us to produce more reliable statistical estimates by eliminating the need to trim samples to exclude non-voters.

To help identify the most important issues facing our community and to ensure that our questions avoid ideological and partisan bias, we relied the Board for the Center for Nashville Studies. Our Board evaluated the poll prior to it going into the field. We started by soliciting suggestions from the Board about what topics to include on the poll and made every effort to utilize those suggestions. Once we wrote questions for the Poll, we got the Board's reaction to our proposed questions and then made further revisions based on those reactions.

Current VU Poll board members are:

Samar Ali, attorney at Bone McAllester Norton PLLC and co-founder of the Lodestone Advisory Group

Charles W. Bone, attorney and chairman of Bone McAllester Norton PLLC

José González, instructor of entrepreneurship and management, Belmont University

Tom Ingram, political strategist with the Ingram Group

Roy M. Neel, senior advisor to former President Al Gore

Bill Phillips, government relations consultant and former Nashville deputy mayor

Bill Purcell, former Nashville mayor and partner at Farmer Purcell White & Lassiter, PLLC

Lisa Quigley, Chief of Staff for Rep. Jim Cooper

Anne Russell, special counsel at Adams and Reese LLP

Chip Saltsman, former Chief of Staff for Rep. Chuck Fleischmann and political strategist

Jamie Woodson, President and CEO of the State Collaborative on Reforming Education (SCORE)

 


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Upcoming Events

We will post the seminar schedule for Fall 2016 soon!

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Latest Research

12/15/15 - CSDI Working Paper 2015 - 3 titled "Delegation and Bureaucratic Policymaking in the Presence of Binding Legal Constraints: Like a Good Neighbor, State Farm is There..." has been released. The paper is authored by Alan E. Wiseman and John R. Wright

 

SFGS

6/30/15 CSDI Working Paper 2015-2 titled "Controlling Agency Choke Points: Presidents and Regulatory Personnel Turnover" has been released. The paper is authored by Kathleen M. Doherty, David E. Lewis and Scott Limbocker.

4/1/15 CSDI Working Paper 2015-1 titled"Incorporating Legislative Effectiveness into Nonmarket Strategy: The Case of Financial Services Reform and the Great Recession"has been released. The paper is authored by Craig Volden and CSDI Affiliate Alan E. Wiseman.

12/19/14 CSDI Working Paper 2014-7 titled ''Spatial Models of Legislative Effectiveness''has been released. The paper is authored by Matthew P. HittCraig Volden, and CSDI Affiliate Alan E. Wiseman.

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Media Spotlight

Los Angeles Times - 5/2/16 - CSDI Co-Director Larry Bartels and Chris Achen argue "The Presidential Primaries are Out of Control - and the Party Conventions are Broken."  

Washington Post - 3/7/16 - CSDI Co-Director Larry Bartels economic voting model is used by Dr. Matthew Atkinson and Dr. Darin DeWitt to analyze the 2016 Presidential Race.

NBC News - 2/22/1- CSDI Co-Director Josh Clinton, Hannah Hartig and John Lapinski ask Where Will Bush Supporters Go?"

NBC News - 1/27/16 - CSDI Co-Director Josh Clinton, graduate affiliate Carolyn Roush and Dr. John Lapinski explain "Where Sanders and Clinton are Dominating." 

The Guardian - 1/15/16 - CSDI affiliate Marc Hetherington asks "What would Lincoln do: is Obama right he would have better bridged the divide?"

NBC News - 1/5/16 - CSDI Co-Director Josh Clinton, graduate affiliate Carolyn Roush and Dr. John Lapinski examine "How Republicans and Democrats Feel About Their Opponents."

Monkey Cage - 12/28/15 - CSDI affiliate Alan Wiseman and Craig Volden reveal the 10 most effective lawmakers in the US Congress

NBC News - 11/17/16 - CSDI Co-Director Josh Clinton, graduate affiliate Carolyn Roush and Dr. John Lapinski explore the differences between Carson and Trump supporters.

VU Poll - November 2015

MSNBC.com - 8/19/15 - CSDI Co-Director Josh Clinton, graduate affiliate Carrie Roush, and Dr. John Lapinski, Director of the Elections Unit at NBC news take a closer look at Trump supporters.

Washington Post - 8/3/15 - CSDI Co-Director David Lewis and graduate affiliate Mark Richardson's Survey on the Future of Government Service is examined

Cleveland.com - 7/22/15 - CSDI Co-Director John Geer is quoted in an article about Donald Trump's participation in the upcoming republican presidential debate in Cleveland.

The Fiscal Times - 7/20/15 - CSDI Co-Director David Lewis is quoted in an article about Jeb Bush's plan to reduce the federal workforce.

Newsweek -7/17/15 - CSDI Co-Director David Lewis discusses "How to Keep Good People Working in Government."

Tennessean - 7/10/15 - CSDI Co-Directors Joshua Clinton and John Geer Op-Ed, "Beware of Internal Polls to Name Nashville's Next Mayor

 

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Contact the CSDI

The Center for the Study of
Democratic Institutions
Vanderbilt University
PMB 505
230 Appleton Place
Nashville TN 37203

CSDI Poster

 

 

 


Phone: 615.875.6954
Fax: 615.343.6003 
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