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   Introducing Distribution

    Inventing Measures
    Task
 

Invent a measure of what the data seem to suggest is the best estimate of the height of the flagpole. Then invent another measure of how precise or accurate the measurements were. Be sure to describe as completely as you can how to calculate each measurement. Each measurement should have a method for getting it, so that other people could follow your method. Tinkerplots should be available to students.

Teacher note : You may wish to break this into two parts and have students work first on inventing their measure of the best guess of the height of the flagpole. There is a worksheet that accompanies this task, appended to the end of this lesson. Students can work in pairs, individually, or in small groups. You may wish to introduce students to TP formula feature as a way of expressing their method so that others can use it too.

 
   Purpose
 

When students create measures, they are confronted with the need to think hard about qualities of the distribution. For example, they may have an intuition that best estimates of height are somehow in the middle. But how should middle be quantified? Similarly, students might think about accuracy as "how close" the measurements are or how "compacted" they are. But how can these intuitions be quantified? We are setting the stage for familiar statistics, such as indicators of central tendency (mean, median, mode), as well as indicators of variation, such as average deviation, mid-50 range, and the like. Some may be invented by students. Others will be introduced later, but students will have a better sense of what the statistics indicate.

    Whole Group Conversation
 
  • Best estimate of height

Students present the method developed by other students and they guess about what aspect of the data led the person to invent that particular method. At the end of the elicitation, the teacher asks students to group methods that are alike in their notebooks, and to tell how they are different from other methods in other groups. Students share their groups and explain how they view similarities and differences.

Teacher note: Be sure that if students say "average" that there is some directed exploration of qualities of averages, including their susceptibility to extreme values.

  • Precision

Students present the method developed by other students and they guess about what aspect of the data led the person to invent that particular method. At the end of the elicitation, the teacher asks students to group methods that are alike in their notebooks, and to tell how they are different from other methods in other groups. Students share their groups and explain how they view similarities and differences.

    Students' Ways of Thinking
 

Students often appeal to modal values when reasoning about best estimates of height under the premise that identical measures signals convergence to the true height. Other students prefer the mean, because it represents all cases, and still others, the median, because it splits the data in the middle. However, students often make very sensible proposals that blend these intuitions. For example, some suggest finding a modal clump of values (the stems in a stem-and-leaf display) and then finding the mean of the leaves. Others have a sense of neighborhood of values, especially around the center, and first define a middle group, and then define an indicator of center in that middle group. It is important to acknowledge the legitimacy of these different ways of thinking.

Students generally find reasoning about precision or variation more challenging. What does it mean to be closer or more compact or to agree more often? One solution that we have seen invented repeatedly is to think of agreement as measured by distance. For example, a student suggested taking the difference between the mean and the extreme values and adding these to form an index. Upon further reflection, this student decided that the precision of any point could be represented by the difference between it and the mean (or median), and by extension, that the precision of the whole group could be measured by finding the average difference. This led to a surprise. The average was zero. This provided an opportunity for the teacher to introduce the absolute value function in a context where it could be put to use. Other students focused less on individuals and more on center clumps. With guidance, many of these students generated a mid-range estimate of precision.

Last Updated: April 13, 2006
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