Quantifying Inflation Pressure and Monetary
Policy Response in the United States


Working Paper No. 04-W24R

Diana N. Weymark and Mototsugu Shintani



ABSTRACT [article]



We propose a methodology for constructing operational indices of inflation pressure, the monetary authority's effort to reduce this pressure, and the degree to which inflation pressure is alleviated. We begin with model independent definitions of these concepts. When our definitions are applied to a specific model we obtain model-specific functional forms for these indices. We apply our methodology to a micro-founded aggregate model with rational expectations. GMM estimates of the model are used to obtain quarterly time series of our indices for the United States from 1966 to 2001.

Keywords and Phrases: Inflation pressure, monetary policy, stabilization policy

JEL Classification Number: E50, E58

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